I'm on tenterhooks - maybe getting a ticket from a client who feels a bit sad that I'm leaving. If so, will be flying down Friday night and staying in Nice, with helicopter transfer Saturday and Sunday. Corporate hospitality - that's the way to do F1
Back to topic - this is probably Mercedes' best chance of a win. It's been a hot topic in the E household for a while... Mr E Snr and I reckon that there is a fundamental packaging issue at the rear of the car that is affecting high-speed aero performance. It has to be something like that otherwise it would have been improved by now. They keep going on about 2014 being much better, which also hints at something - probably drivetrain - that compromises what is going on at the back end.
The other reason behind this thinking is that Red Bull have had problems relating to packaging - Newey has things very tight which was giving issue with the alternator, KERS, etc, but the back end is absolutely planted.
There is a lot of performance / grip to be had if you can manage the flow of the exhaust gases (the latest set-ups are effectively sealing the side of the diffuser, making it work better) and that coming off the topside of the sidepods (helping to control the exhaust flow). It's a neat solution now that you can't use the exhaust to "blow" the diffuser, but relies on very tight and precise tolerances - and Mercedes can't seem to nail that.